Kata-kata Mutiara Dalam Meteorologi dan Sains Atmosfer
Posted by kadarsah pada Oktober 23, 2014
But as the cool and dense Air, by reason of its greater Gravity, presses upon the hot
and rariﬁed, ’tis demonstrated that this latter must ascend in a continued stream as
fast as it Rariﬁes
– Edmund Halley, 1686
Det er svært at sp˚a, især om fremtiden.
(It is diﬃcult to make predictions, especial ly about the future)
– Niels Bohr
Before attending to the complexities of the actual atmosphere … it may be wel l to
exhibit the working of a much simpliﬁed case.
– Lewis Fry Richardson, 1922
The only relevant test of the validity of a hypothesis is comparison of prediction with
– Milton Friedman, 1953
I believe that the ultimate climatic models … wil l be stochastic, i.e., random numbers
wil l appear somewhere in the time derivatives.
– Ed Lorenz, 1975
It is far better to foresee even without certainty than not to foresee at al l.
– Henri Poincare
It seems to me that the condition of conﬁdence or otherwise forms a very important
part of the prediction, and ought to ﬁnd expression. It is not fair to the forecaster that
equal weight be assigned to al l his predictions and the usual method tends to retard
that public conﬁdence which al l practical meteorologists desire to foster.
– W. Ernest Cooke, 1906