Meteorologi dan Sains Atmosfer

Archive for Oktober 23rd, 2014

Kata-kata Mutiara Dalam Meteorologi dan Sains Atmosfer

Posted by kadarsah pada Oktober 23, 2014

But as the cool and dense Air, by reason of its greater Gravity, presses upon the hot
and rarified, ’tis demonstrated that this latter must ascend in a continued stream as
fast as it Rarifies
– Edmund Halley, 1686

Det er svært at sp˚a, især om fremtiden.
(It is difficult to make predictions, especial ly about the future)
– Niels Bohr

Before attending to the complexities of the actual atmosphere … it may be wel l to
exhibit the working of a much simplified case.
– Lewis Fry Richardson, 1922

The only relevant test of the validity of a hypothesis is comparison of prediction with
– Milton Friedman, 1953

I believe that the ultimate climatic models … wil l be stochastic, i.e., random numbers
wil l appear somewhere in the time derivatives.
– Ed Lorenz, 1975

It is far better to foresee even without certainty than not to foresee at al l.
– Henri Poincare

It seems to me that the condition of confidence or otherwise forms a very important
part of the prediction, and ought to find expression. It is not fair to the forecaster that
equal weight be assigned to al l his predictions and the usual method tends to retard
that public confidence which al l practical meteorologists desire to foster.
– W. Ernest Cooke, 1906

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